Gold Hits New Heights on Rate-Cut Bets and Rising Risks
Gold prices surged above $4,610 per ounce on Wednesday, pushing toward a fresh record as investors ramped up bets on US interest rate cuts and sought safety amid mounting uncertainty.
Signs of cooling underlying US inflation in December strengthened the view that price pressures are easing, encouraging expectations of easier monetary policy. Futures markets now show investors split between two or three Fed rate cuts this year, well above policymakers’ median outlook of one.
Safe-haven demand also intensified after renewed concerns over the Federal Reserve’s independence, following a criminal probe tied to Chair Jerome Powell’s June testimony.
Adding to gold’s appeal, geopolitical tensions stayed high, with markets watching closely for potential US involvement in Iran’s political unrest after repeated warnings of possible military action.
Gold is gaining support from expectations of US interest rate cuts, easing inflation data, increased safe-haven demand, and heightened geopolitical risks.
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making it more attractive to investors.
Moderating inflation signals that price pressures are easing, strengthening expectations of looser monetary policy, which typically supports gold prices.
Any threat to the Federal Reserve’s independence can weaken confidence in the US dollar and financial stability, driving investors toward gold as a safe haven.
Rising geopolitical risks, such as potential US involvement in Iran’s unrest, increase uncertainty, prompting investors to seek protection in safe-haven assets like gold.
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