Oil Prices Dip in Thin Trade as U.S.–Iran Talks and Fed Signals Loom
Oil prices edged lower on Tuesday as trading activity remained subdued due to several market holidays across Asia, while investors closely monitored forthcoming discussions between the United States and Iran.
A firmer U.S. dollar also added pressure to crude benchmarks ahead of a series of key economic reports and signals from the Federal Reserve later in the week.
April contracts for Brent crude slipped 0.3% to $68.45 per barrel. Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 1.1% to $63.45 per barrel as of 21:00 ET (02:00 GMT), with the move partly influenced by the U.S. market closure on Monday.
Trading volumes were notably lighter as markets in China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, South Korea, and Singapore were closed for holidays.
Officials from the U.S. and Iran were scheduled to meet in Geneva on Tuesday to address concerns over Iran’s nuclear enrichment program, according to media reports. U.S. President Donald Trump indicated on Monday that he would be “indirectly involved” in the negotiations, though he did not provide further details.
The meeting follows earlier discussions between Washington and Tehran that ended without significant progress earlier this month.
Reports also indicated that the United States had sent a second aircraft carrier to the Middle East ahead of the talks and was preparing contingency plans for a prolonged military presence in the region should negotiations fail.
Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East has prompted traders to factor in a higher risk premium for oil, given the potential for supply disruptions.
The U.S. dollar strengthened slightly on Tuesday, rising 0.2% against a basket of major currencies. The advance came in relatively thin trading conditions ahead of several important economic releases.
Investors are awaiting a slate of U.S. data this week, including reports on industrial production, trade, and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index — the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. The data could influence expectations around future interest rate decisions.
Additionally, minutes from the Federal Reserve’s January policy meeting are set to be released, which may provide further insight into the central bank’s outlook on monetary policy.
Oil prices slipped amid reduced trading activity due to market holidays in parts of Asia and as investors awaited upcoming negotiations between the U.S. and Iran.
A stronger U.S. dollar put pressure on oil prices, as it makes crude more expensive for buyers using other currencies and often weighs on commodity demand.
The talks are focused on Iran’s nuclear enrichment program and come amid heightened geopolitical tensions. Markets are watching closely because any escalation could disrupt Middle Eastern oil supplies.
Concerns about potential military escalation in the Middle East have increased the perceived risk of supply disruptions, prompting traders to factor in a geopolitical risk premium.
Investors are focused on U.S. reports including industrial production, trade data, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, and the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes, all of which could influence interest rate expectations.
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