Welcome back to another Zylostar Weekly Market Update.
This week, global markets reacted to stronger-than-expected U.S. economic growth, rising inflation pressures in Australia and Canada, political developments in the UK, and renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Here's what moved the markets this week.
The U.S. economy showed a strong recovery in the first quarter of 2026.
• GDP growth accelerated to 2.1%, up sharply from 0.5% in the previous quarter.
• Technology, manufacturing, and government spending were the biggest contributors.
• Consumer spending remained softer, while retailers continued to face pressure.
• Lower imports also supported GDP, partly reflecting disruptions to global supply chains during the Iran conflict.
The latest revision confirms that the U.S. economy remains more resilient than many expected.
Australia's headline inflation eased slightly.
• Annual CPI slowed from 4.2% to 4.0%.
• However, core inflation increased to 3.6%, suggesting underlying price pressures remain elevated.
• Housing inflation remained one of the largest contributors, rising 6.5% year-over-year.
The data suggests inflation is improving, but the Reserve Bank of Australia may remain cautious.
Canadian inflation accelerated again in May.
• CPI increased to 3.2%, up from 2.8% in April.
• Higher gasoline prices were the primary driver.
• Even excluding energy, underlying inflation continued to edge higher.
This increases pressure on the Bank of Canada to keep interest rates higher despite slowing economic growth.
Political uncertainty increased in the UK.
• Prime Minister Keir Starmer faced growing political pressure following Andy Burnham's election victory.
• Meanwhile, the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in Europe turned positive for the first time since the Middle East conflict began, suggesting improving investor confidence across the region.
Geopolitical tensions remained a major market driver.
• Iran launched drones targeting a Singapore-flagged cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz.
• The U.S. responded with strikes targeting Iranian missile, drone storage, and coastal radar facilities.
• Markets continue to closely monitor developments around global energy supply routes and regional stability.
Oil prices and overall market sentiment remain highly sensitive to further escalation.
The U.S. economy expanded by 2.1% in the first quarter of 2026, supported by stronger technology investment, manufacturing activity, government spending, and exports. Lower imports also contributed to the stronger GDP growth.
Although headline inflation eased to 4.0%, core inflation increased to 3.6%, indicating that underlying price pressures remain persistent. Housing costs continue to be a major contributor, suggesting inflation may take longer to return to target.
Canada’s inflation rose to 3.2% in May, mainly due to higher energy prices. Persistent inflation increases the likelihood that the Bank of Canada will keep interest rates higher for longer, even as economic growth slows.
Political uncertainty can reduce investor confidence and increase market volatility. Leadership pressure on the UK government may influence fiscal policy, economic reforms, and the performance of the British Pound if uncertainty continues.
The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world's most important oil shipping routes. Any disruption caused by military activity between the U.S. and Iran could affect global oil supplies, push energy prices higher, increase inflation pressures, and create volatility across stock, commodity, and currency markets.
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